Imagine spending millions of dollars on AI only to watch the project fail spectacularly. It’s a frustrating reality for many businesses. According to McKinsey’s 2023 “State of AI” report, while 75% of companies plan to increase their AI investments, only 23% report significant value.
What’s going wrong?
AI initiatives often collapse because they are launched without a strategic framework. Leaders chase shiny tools, hoping they’ll revolutionize operations, but without alignment with real business needs, the result is disappointment.
Chatbots that frustrate customers, machine learning models gathering digital dust, and expensive experiments that never make it to production—these are the hallmarks of poor AI adoption.
The technology isn’t the problem; it’s the mindset.
What businesses need is first-principles thinking. This approach goes beyond surface-level fixes to reexamine problems from their roots. It’s not about finding a place to “add AI” but understanding where AI can make a difference.
Here’s how this shift in thinking can save your business time, money, and frustration.
The AI Paradox: Why Most Efforts Falter
Let’s address the elephant in the room: AI isn’t inherently hard to adopt, but companies make it hard. Gartner estimates that through 2025, 80% of AI projects will fail to scale. Why? Businesses treat AI like a plug-and-play solution, expecting it to work miracles on broken systems.
It’s like trying to build a skyscraper on a shaky foundation. Without clear goals, robust processes, and leadership alignment, even the most advanced AI tools will fall flat. Many organizations approach AI adoption backward—buying tools first and then scrambling to find use cases.
This reactive approach creates what I call “AI chaos.” Instead of solving problems, it creates new ones: disconnected systems, frustrated teams, and wasted budgets.
Adopting First-Principles Thinking: Start with the Basics
First-principles thinking forces you to rethink problems from the ground up. It’s about asking “Why?” until you uncover the fundamental issue. This approach prevents the scattershot adoption of AI tools and ensures initiatives align with core business needs.
When I first worked with AI tools at Microsoft, teams would often ask, “How can we use AI?” This question sounds logical, but it misses the mark. Instead, I encouraged them to ask:
What business problem are we solving?
Where are inefficiencies costing us time or money?
Which processes frustrate employees or customers?
These questions reframe AI as a means to an end, not an end in itself. Once you understand the problem, you can evaluate whether AI is the right tool—and, if so, how it can best be applied.
Measuring Success: The Three-Part ROI Framework
Most AI projects fail because success is poorly defined. Leaders focus on cost savings alone, which often undermines the broader value AI can bring.
A more effective approach is to think about ROI as a three-part framework:
Direct Savings: Identify areas where AI reduces costs—whether by automating manual tasks, decreasing error rates, or optimizing operations.
Indirect Benefits: Consider the broader impact, such as better customer experiences, faster decision-making, and improved employee morale.
Implementation Costs: Account for expenses like training, infrastructure, and maintenance.
One organization I worked with had focused solely on direct savings, ignoring how AI could enhance customer satisfaction. By broadening their perspective, they discovered that improving the customer journey delivered value far beyond what they initially anticipated.
The AI Readiness Checklist
Before you invest in AI, take stock of your organization’s readiness. Think of this as prepping for a marathon. You wouldn’t start running without the right training, equipment, and strategy.
Evaluate your organization across these five dimensions:
Data Infrastructure: Is your data clean, accessible, and well-governed? AI depends on high-quality inputs.
Technical Capability: Do you have the tools and skills to implement and support AI initiatives?
Process Maturity: Are workflows efficient and well-documented? Chaotic processes can derail even the best AI systems.
Workforce Preparation: Are employees ready to adapt? Change management is as critical as the technology itself.
Strategic Alignment: Is leadership committed to and aligned on AI adoption? A lack of buy-in at the top can stall progress.
During a workshop, one leader confidently claimed their company was “AI-ready.” Yet, we discovered their data was scattered across 12 siloed systems, none of which communicated with each other. By focusing on data infrastructure first, they avoided an expensive failure and laid the groundwork for scalable AI adoption.
Practical Examples of First-Principles Thinking
Let’s illustrate this with a practical scenario. Imagine your organization struggles with manual invoice processing. Errors are common, processing times are slow, and employees are bogged down by repetitive tasks.
Using first-principles thinking, you’d start by asking:
Why is this process slow? (Manual entry and review.)
What’s the root cause? (Lack of automation and fragmented workflows.)
How can we address this at its core? (Streamline workflows, then explore AI for automation.)
By tackling the problem from the ground up, you avoid applying a superficial fix and create a solution that scales.
Case Study: From Frustration to Transformation
A mid-sized retailer I consulted faced issues with their customer support chatbot. Instead of reducing workload, the bot frustrated customers with irrelevant responses.
Rather than replacing the chatbot outright, we used first-principles thinking:
What’s the real problem? The bot’s training data didn’t reflect common customer inquiries.
What’s causing the issue? Data gaps and a lack of feedback loops.
What’s the solution? We redesigned the bot’s training process, incorporating customer feedback and re-aligning its responses with top inquiries.
The result? A chatbot that actually solved problems, leading to happier customers and a reduced burden on support teams.
AI Success Begins with Thinking, Not Tools
AI isn’t a quick fix—it’s a strategic tool that works only when applied with purpose and precision. By adopting first-principles thinking, you shift the focus from “What can AI do?” to “What problems need solving?”
The companies thriving with AI aren’t those with the biggest budgets or flashiest tools. They’re the ones asking better questions, aligning technology with business needs, and building a solid foundation.
The opportunity is enormous, but success requires clarity and strategy. Will you approach AI with the mindset it demands—or continue chasing tools without a plan? The choice is yours.
Always thinking,
Yen Anderson